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May 2, 2018-2018

Armenia

2018 Armenian Revolution

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ACTIVISTS/ACT.GROUPS/DESCRIPTION OF THE GROUP

Supporters of the Civil Contract Party

TARGET

Serzh Sargsyan and the Republican Party in Armenia

WIDELY HELD BELIEF

Elections should be free and fair.

CASE NARRATIVE

Issue and Opponent: In 2008, Serzh Sargsyan became president of Armenia. This led to a period of slow economic growth, high unemployment rates, and corruption. After Armenia switched to a parliamentary system in 2015, Sargsyan decided to pursue his third term in office as the prime minister, leading to an eruption of protests from those who opposed him. The initial protests began on March 31 under the leadership of Nikol Pashinyan, leader of the Civil Contract Party. Pashinyan called for a general strike after ruling party MPs refused to back him as interim prime minister. As a popular figure, he managed to mobilize many Armenians.
Dilemma Action: Pashinyan called for a general strike in the capital city of Yerevan on May 2. This resulted in nonviolent obstruction of major roadways and access to transportation. An estimated 150,000 people gathered at Republic Square to join the protest. Cars, people, and objects blocked intersections that led into the capital, demonstrators stopped traffic, public transport was forced to shut down, teachers and students didn’t attend school, and people stood and sat in public squares with t-shirts, posters, and flags customized for the cause. One of the members of the protest is quoted as saying that the open support for Pashinyan, including t-shirts with his face on them, means “she was no longer afraid to talk openly about the problems in the country.”
Outcome: Later that evening, Republican MPs assured Pashinyan that they would not block his bid for office. He declared it a victory and called for the protests to end. Nikol Pashinyan was the only nominee, thus securing his position as prime minister. The Republic Party did not even put up their candidate in a bid to ease tensions, categorizing the DA efforts as a success.

PRIMARY STRUGGLE/GOAL

Pro-Democracy

DA TACTICS USED

General strike

CASE NARRATIVE WRITER

SUCCESS METRICS

9 / 12

(CONC) Concessions were made

(MC) Media Coverage

(MSYMP) Media coverage was sympathetic to the activists

(OR) Opponent response

(PS) Dilemma action built sympathy with the public

(PUN) Punishment favored the activists

(REFR) Dilemma action reframed the narrative of the opponent

(RF) Dilemma action reduced fear and/or apathy among the activists

(SA) Dilemma action appealed to a broad segment of the public

PART OF A LARGER CAMPAIGN

2 / 3

Encouraged more participants to join the movement

Internally replicated by the same movement

RESOURCES

Project documentation

Dilemma Actions Coding Guidebook

Case study documentation

Dilemma_Actions_Analysis_Dataset

CC BY 4.0 Deed, Attribution 4.0 International

SOURCES

BBC. 2018. “Armenia crisis: Protesters bring cities to standstill after vote,” Retrieved July 23, 2023. (https://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-43969592).

Sanamyan, Emil. 2018. “Saint Nick of Armenia: how protest leader Nikol Pashinyan “rescued” Armenia and made it merry,” OpenDemocracy. Retrieved July 23, 2023. (https://www.opendemocracy.net/en/odr/saint-nick-of-armenia-how-nikol-pashinyan-rescued-armenia-and-made-it-merry/).

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